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Personal portfolio falsification system: every investment thesis decomposes into pre-registered falsifiers with named public observables, watched twice daily by an AI monitor with escalating alerts. Regime-tolerant exit rules and state-triggered re-entry replace judgment at extremes — past me decides, present me executes.

  • Pre-registered falsifiers with named public observables (CLEAR / WATCH / FIRED)
  • Twice-daily AI monitor with web search checks each observable against current evidence
  • Escalating decision-class alerts that repeat until acknowledged
  • Regime-tolerant exit rules with state-triggered re-entry
  • Born from a model-led audit of five years of instinct trading
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Financial dashboard deployed; a tax analysis found the after-tax model was missing CPP contributions, and documented four collision risks.

Real-money dashboard with one-truth P&L architecture and live/paper safety badges. The tax synthesis corrected the treatment of superficial losses, naked puts in registered accounts, pre-commencement expenses and first-home savings accounts. Its headline finding is a cost the model had been missing, not a gain: profits taxed as business income rather than as capital gains are pensionable, so Canada Pension Plan (CPP) contributions apply to them. For 2026 the combined maximum self-employed CPP contribution, including the second-tier CPP2 band, is CA$9,292.90, reached at CA$85,000 of pensionable self-employment income. That is an annual statutory ceiling, not a forecast of what this project adds — what is actually owed depends on the tax treatment that applies and on the individual's own contribution circumstances. The finding is that the after-tax model has to account for it at all.

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